Revisiting the Quality of Area Planning Schemes in Terms of the Educational Institutions Network Development at the Municipal Level in the Extreme North Regions

Annotation

A lot has been said about the low quality of territory development programs at the regional and municipal levels in Russian literature. However, rare examples are given to confirm this thesis. In the case of such closely related issues as demographic and the education system development at the municipal level, we consider the territorial planning schemes and show these issues are not given sufficient attention. In terms of demography, the main disadvantages are an insufficiently detailed analysis of the age distribution of the population and its dynamics, analysis of a very short period (1–4 years), underestimation of existing trends (e.g., a wave-like change in the population), and an extremely weak demographic forecast. Concerning the education system, the main disadvantages are a short review horizon (1–3 years), insufficient analysis of trends and justification of the proposed measures, the use of planned rather than real indicators, which leads to an underestimation of demographic trends, insufficient analysis of the accessibility of education institutions. A more detailed analysis of indicators over a greater number of years should be carried out to improve the quality of the schemes. When developing them, it is necessary to involve a specialist in demographic forecasting. Finally, it is required to create a model scheme that can be guided by developing schemes at the municipal level.

About authors

Arseniy L. SINITSA, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), research fellow 
Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

Keywords

Extreme North, educational system, territorial planning scheme, municipal administration, development, forecasting

DOI

10.37482/issn2221-2698.2020.39.160

UDC

[332.14+37](943.8)(045)